Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.079626 0.093923 0.109911 0.129097 0.151477 0.176741 0.207408
2025-05-25 0.055706 0.073613 0.095871 0.125493 0.163801 0.211585 0.275631
2025-06-01 0.043076 0.062219 0.088055 0.125303 0.177443 0.247620 0.349009
2025-06-08 0.034328 0.053417 0.081011 0.123527 0.187052 0.278049 0.417808
2025-06-15 0.029280 0.048590 0.078204 0.126505 0.202802 0.318028 0.504381
2025-06-22 0.024474 0.043069 0.073163 0.124842 0.210674 0.346594 0.576809
2025-06-29 0.020449 0.037999 0.067846 0.121594 0.215063 0.369627 0.642663
2025-07-06 0.017160 0.033559 0.062774 0.117766 0.217573 0.389368 0.704855
2025-07-13 0.015417 0.031588 0.061645 0.120540 0.231642 0.429916 0.806958
2025-07-20 0.013711 0.029375 0.059692 0.121415 0.242203 0.465265 0.903654
2025-07-27 0.012285 0.027466 0.057998 0.122460 0.253060 0.502146 1.007087
2025-08-03 0.011156 0.025974 0.056886 0.124435 0.265853 0.543890 1.124188
2025-08-10 0.010316 0.025006 0.056778 0.128607 0.283920 0.598523 1.274159
2025-08-17 0.008893 0.022480 0.052993 0.124451 0.284206 0.617920 1.355972
2025-08-24 0.007956 0.020924 0.051097 0.124143 0.292635 0.654872 1.478270
2025-08-31 0.007047 0.019269 0.048717 0.122357 0.297494 0.684720 1.588707
2025-09-07 0.006536 0.018533 0.048382 0.125302 0.313466 0.740359 1.761637
2025-09-14 0.005832 0.017159 0.046282 0.123653 0.318400 0.771892 1.883925
2025-09-21 0.005140 0.015689 0.043710 0.120435 0.319086 0.793708 1.986197
2025-09-28 0.004510 0.014277 0.041068 0.116642 0.317810 0.810706 2.078910
2025-10-05 0.004224 0.013816 0.040906 0.119390 0.333571 0.870320 2.281041
2025-10-12 0.003892 0.013158 0.040095 0.120257 0.344514 0.919278 2.462191
2025-10-19 0.003598 0.012565 0.039381 0.121293 0.356041 0.970956 2.655821